Find the probability $P(X<Y)$.

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Suppose $X$ and $Y$ be two independent Poisson $(lambda)$ random variables. Find $P(X<Y)$.





My attempt $:$



beginalign*P(X<Y) &= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x,Y=y) \
&= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x) P(Y=y) \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=x+1^infty frac lambda^y y! \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^inftyleft( frace^-lambdalambda^xx! - fraclambda^xx! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^yy! right) \
&= e^-2lambda - e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)
endalign*



Now how do I calculate $$sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)$$ Please help me in this regard.



Thank you very much.










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  • can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
    – Deepesh Meena
    Sep 8 at 8:42










  • Please somebody point out where my error was.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 9:03










  • please check if the edit is correct.
    – Siong Thye Goh
    Sep 8 at 9:15






  • 3




    Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 9:33







  • 1




    @Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 10:10














up vote
2
down vote

favorite














Suppose $X$ and $Y$ be two independent Poisson $(lambda)$ random variables. Find $P(X<Y)$.





My attempt $:$



beginalign*P(X<Y) &= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x,Y=y) \
&= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x) P(Y=y) \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=x+1^infty frac lambda^y y! \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^inftyleft( frace^-lambdalambda^xx! - fraclambda^xx! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^yy! right) \
&= e^-2lambda - e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)
endalign*



Now how do I calculate $$sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)$$ Please help me in this regard.



Thank you very much.










share|cite|improve this question























  • can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
    – Deepesh Meena
    Sep 8 at 8:42










  • Please somebody point out where my error was.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 9:03










  • please check if the edit is correct.
    – Siong Thye Goh
    Sep 8 at 9:15






  • 3




    Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 9:33







  • 1




    @Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 10:10












up vote
2
down vote

favorite









up vote
2
down vote

favorite













Suppose $X$ and $Y$ be two independent Poisson $(lambda)$ random variables. Find $P(X<Y)$.





My attempt $:$



beginalign*P(X<Y) &= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x,Y=y) \
&= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x) P(Y=y) \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=x+1^infty frac lambda^y y! \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^inftyleft( frace^-lambdalambda^xx! - fraclambda^xx! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^yy! right) \
&= e^-2lambda - e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)
endalign*



Now how do I calculate $$sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)$$ Please help me in this regard.



Thank you very much.










share|cite|improve this question

















Suppose $X$ and $Y$ be two independent Poisson $(lambda)$ random variables. Find $P(X<Y)$.





My attempt $:$



beginalign*P(X<Y) &= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x,Y=y) \
&= sumlimits_x=0^infty sumlimits_y=x+1^infty P(X=x) P(Y=y) \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=x+1^infty frac lambda^y y! \
&= e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^inftyleft( frace^-lambdalambda^xx! - fraclambda^xx! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^yy! right) \
&= e^-2lambda - e^-2lambda sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)
endalign*



Now how do I calculate $$sumlimits_x=0^infty left( frac lambda^x x! sumlimits_y=0^x frac lambda^y y! right)$$ Please help me in this regard.



Thank you very much.







probability probability-distributions poisson-distribution






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edited Sep 8 at 9:22

























asked Sep 8 at 8:34









Dbchatto67

34313




34313











  • can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
    – Deepesh Meena
    Sep 8 at 8:42










  • Please somebody point out where my error was.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 9:03










  • please check if the edit is correct.
    – Siong Thye Goh
    Sep 8 at 9:15






  • 3




    Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 9:33







  • 1




    @Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 10:10
















  • can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
    – Deepesh Meena
    Sep 8 at 8:42










  • Please somebody point out where my error was.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 9:03










  • please check if the edit is correct.
    – Siong Thye Goh
    Sep 8 at 9:15






  • 3




    Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 9:33







  • 1




    @Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
    – Did
    Sep 8 at 10:10















can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
– Deepesh Meena
Sep 8 at 8:42




can you edit your question there is some error in your latex formatting
– Deepesh Meena
Sep 8 at 8:42












Please somebody point out where my error was.
– Dbchatto67
Sep 8 at 9:03




Please somebody point out where my error was.
– Dbchatto67
Sep 8 at 9:03












please check if the edit is correct.
– Siong Thye Goh
Sep 8 at 9:15




please check if the edit is correct.
– Siong Thye Goh
Sep 8 at 9:15




3




3




Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
– Did
Sep 8 at 9:33





Simpler: By symmetry, $P(X<Y)=P(X>Y)$ hence $P(X<Y)=frac12-frac12P(X=Y)$ with $$P(X=Y)=e^-2lambdasum_n=0^inftyfraclambda^2n(n!)^2$$ for which there is no simpler expression (except, rather circularly, by identifying the sum as a value of a special function defined as the sum of this series).
– Did
Sep 8 at 9:33





1




1




@Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
– Did
Sep 8 at 10:10




@Mark The page you link to in your answer below is actually a good start to see the problem: note how people there call "Hint" or "Answer" the mere mention of the name of a series which the OP already computed on their own.
– Did
Sep 8 at 10:10










1 Answer
1






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up vote
2
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accepted










For the special case of $X$ and $Y$ being identically distributed, you have



$$P(X < Y) + P(Y < X) + P(Y = X) = 1$$
$$2 P(X < Y) + P(X = Y) = 1$$
$$ P( X < Y) = 1/2 (1 - P(X = Y))$$



So it reduces to computing $P(X =Y)$ whose computation appears here Probability that two independent Poisson random variables with same paramter are equal






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 10:10










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1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes








1 Answer
1






active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes








up vote
2
down vote



accepted










For the special case of $X$ and $Y$ being identically distributed, you have



$$P(X < Y) + P(Y < X) + P(Y = X) = 1$$
$$2 P(X < Y) + P(X = Y) = 1$$
$$ P( X < Y) = 1/2 (1 - P(X = Y))$$



So it reduces to computing $P(X =Y)$ whose computation appears here Probability that two independent Poisson random variables with same paramter are equal






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 10:10














up vote
2
down vote



accepted










For the special case of $X$ and $Y$ being identically distributed, you have



$$P(X < Y) + P(Y < X) + P(Y = X) = 1$$
$$2 P(X < Y) + P(X = Y) = 1$$
$$ P( X < Y) = 1/2 (1 - P(X = Y))$$



So it reduces to computing $P(X =Y)$ whose computation appears here Probability that two independent Poisson random variables with same paramter are equal






share|cite|improve this answer




















  • Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 10:10












up vote
2
down vote



accepted







up vote
2
down vote



accepted






For the special case of $X$ and $Y$ being identically distributed, you have



$$P(X < Y) + P(Y < X) + P(Y = X) = 1$$
$$2 P(X < Y) + P(X = Y) = 1$$
$$ P( X < Y) = 1/2 (1 - P(X = Y))$$



So it reduces to computing $P(X =Y)$ whose computation appears here Probability that two independent Poisson random variables with same paramter are equal






share|cite|improve this answer












For the special case of $X$ and $Y$ being identically distributed, you have



$$P(X < Y) + P(Y < X) + P(Y = X) = 1$$
$$2 P(X < Y) + P(X = Y) = 1$$
$$ P( X < Y) = 1/2 (1 - P(X = Y))$$



So it reduces to computing $P(X =Y)$ whose computation appears here Probability that two independent Poisson random variables with same paramter are equal







share|cite|improve this answer












share|cite|improve this answer



share|cite|improve this answer










answered Sep 8 at 9:32









Mark

1,84322247




1,84322247











  • Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 10:10
















  • Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
    – Dbchatto67
    Sep 8 at 10:10















Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
– Dbchatto67
Sep 8 at 10:10




Yeah @Mark I have found it myself just now without seeing your answer.
– Dbchatto67
Sep 8 at 10:10

















 

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