What is the distribution created by this?

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So I have a group of people. Each of them is 60% likely to vote on A and 40% likely to vote on B. What type of distribution does this create if I'm looking for amount of people that vote on A - the amount of people that vote on B? I'd say it would just be a difference of binomials, but they are dependent on each other so I'm not sure.







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    So I have a group of people. Each of them is 60% likely to vote on A and 40% likely to vote on B. What type of distribution does this create if I'm looking for amount of people that vote on A - the amount of people that vote on B? I'd say it would just be a difference of binomials, but they are dependent on each other so I'm not sure.







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      up vote
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      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      1
      down vote

      favorite











      So I have a group of people. Each of them is 60% likely to vote on A and 40% likely to vote on B. What type of distribution does this create if I'm looking for amount of people that vote on A - the amount of people that vote on B? I'd say it would just be a difference of binomials, but they are dependent on each other so I'm not sure.







      share|cite|improve this question












      So I have a group of people. Each of them is 60% likely to vote on A and 40% likely to vote on B. What type of distribution does this create if I'm looking for amount of people that vote on A - the amount of people that vote on B? I'd say it would just be a difference of binomials, but they are dependent on each other so I'm not sure.









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      asked Aug 9 at 17:35









      huB1erTi2

      447




      447




















          2 Answers
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          It's just a shifted, scaled Binomial. Essential, you want a weighted Binomial: $X_1,dots,X_n$ are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with parameter $3/5$, and you are looking for
          $$
          X = sum_k=1^n (2X_k-1) = 2sum_k=1^n X_k -n = 2Y-n
          $$
          where $Y$ is a Binomial with parameters $n$ and $3/5$.






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            Let
            $$
            I_n=begincases
            1 & textif the ntext-th individual votes for A\
            0 & textotherwise.
            endcases
            $$
            Assuming voters do not influence each other, then $I_1,ldots,I_N$ are i.i.d. $operatornameBernoulli(0.6)$ random variables.
            Let $V_A$ be the total number of voters for $A$ and $V_B$ be the total number of voters for $B$.
            Then,
            $$
            V_A-V_B=left[I_1+cdots+I_Nright]-left[N-left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)right]=2left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)-N
            $$
            where $I_1+cdots+I_N$ is a binomially distributed $operatornameB(N,0.6)$ random variable.






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              2 Answers
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              2 Answers
              2






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              accepted










              It's just a shifted, scaled Binomial. Essential, you want a weighted Binomial: $X_1,dots,X_n$ are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with parameter $3/5$, and you are looking for
              $$
              X = sum_k=1^n (2X_k-1) = 2sum_k=1^n X_k -n = 2Y-n
              $$
              where $Y$ is a Binomial with parameters $n$ and $3/5$.






              share|cite|improve this answer
























                up vote
                1
                down vote



                accepted










                It's just a shifted, scaled Binomial. Essential, you want a weighted Binomial: $X_1,dots,X_n$ are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with parameter $3/5$, and you are looking for
                $$
                X = sum_k=1^n (2X_k-1) = 2sum_k=1^n X_k -n = 2Y-n
                $$
                where $Y$ is a Binomial with parameters $n$ and $3/5$.






                share|cite|improve this answer






















                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote



                  accepted







                  up vote
                  1
                  down vote



                  accepted






                  It's just a shifted, scaled Binomial. Essential, you want a weighted Binomial: $X_1,dots,X_n$ are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with parameter $3/5$, and you are looking for
                  $$
                  X = sum_k=1^n (2X_k-1) = 2sum_k=1^n X_k -n = 2Y-n
                  $$
                  where $Y$ is a Binomial with parameters $n$ and $3/5$.






                  share|cite|improve this answer












                  It's just a shifted, scaled Binomial. Essential, you want a weighted Binomial: $X_1,dots,X_n$ are i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with parameter $3/5$, and you are looking for
                  $$
                  X = sum_k=1^n (2X_k-1) = 2sum_k=1^n X_k -n = 2Y-n
                  $$
                  where $Y$ is a Binomial with parameters $n$ and $3/5$.







                  share|cite|improve this answer












                  share|cite|improve this answer



                  share|cite|improve this answer










                  answered Aug 9 at 17:41









                  Clement C.

                  47.2k33682




                  47.2k33682




















                      up vote
                      1
                      down vote













                      Let
                      $$
                      I_n=begincases
                      1 & textif the ntext-th individual votes for A\
                      0 & textotherwise.
                      endcases
                      $$
                      Assuming voters do not influence each other, then $I_1,ldots,I_N$ are i.i.d. $operatornameBernoulli(0.6)$ random variables.
                      Let $V_A$ be the total number of voters for $A$ and $V_B$ be the total number of voters for $B$.
                      Then,
                      $$
                      V_A-V_B=left[I_1+cdots+I_Nright]-left[N-left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)right]=2left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)-N
                      $$
                      where $I_1+cdots+I_N$ is a binomially distributed $operatornameB(N,0.6)$ random variable.






                      share|cite|improve this answer


























                        up vote
                        1
                        down vote













                        Let
                        $$
                        I_n=begincases
                        1 & textif the ntext-th individual votes for A\
                        0 & textotherwise.
                        endcases
                        $$
                        Assuming voters do not influence each other, then $I_1,ldots,I_N$ are i.i.d. $operatornameBernoulli(0.6)$ random variables.
                        Let $V_A$ be the total number of voters for $A$ and $V_B$ be the total number of voters for $B$.
                        Then,
                        $$
                        V_A-V_B=left[I_1+cdots+I_Nright]-left[N-left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)right]=2left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)-N
                        $$
                        where $I_1+cdots+I_N$ is a binomially distributed $operatornameB(N,0.6)$ random variable.






                        share|cite|improve this answer
























                          up vote
                          1
                          down vote










                          up vote
                          1
                          down vote









                          Let
                          $$
                          I_n=begincases
                          1 & textif the ntext-th individual votes for A\
                          0 & textotherwise.
                          endcases
                          $$
                          Assuming voters do not influence each other, then $I_1,ldots,I_N$ are i.i.d. $operatornameBernoulli(0.6)$ random variables.
                          Let $V_A$ be the total number of voters for $A$ and $V_B$ be the total number of voters for $B$.
                          Then,
                          $$
                          V_A-V_B=left[I_1+cdots+I_Nright]-left[N-left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)right]=2left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)-N
                          $$
                          where $I_1+cdots+I_N$ is a binomially distributed $operatornameB(N,0.6)$ random variable.






                          share|cite|improve this answer














                          Let
                          $$
                          I_n=begincases
                          1 & textif the ntext-th individual votes for A\
                          0 & textotherwise.
                          endcases
                          $$
                          Assuming voters do not influence each other, then $I_1,ldots,I_N$ are i.i.d. $operatornameBernoulli(0.6)$ random variables.
                          Let $V_A$ be the total number of voters for $A$ and $V_B$ be the total number of voters for $B$.
                          Then,
                          $$
                          V_A-V_B=left[I_1+cdots+I_Nright]-left[N-left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)right]=2left(I_1+cdots+I_Nright)-N
                          $$
                          where $I_1+cdots+I_N$ is a binomially distributed $operatornameB(N,0.6)$ random variable.







                          share|cite|improve this answer














                          share|cite|improve this answer



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                          edited Aug 9 at 17:45

























                          answered Aug 9 at 17:40









                          parsiad

                          16k32253




                          16k32253






















                               

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