Probability of choosing two marbles with the same color is equal to the probability of choosing two marbles with different colors [closed]
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Problem statement: John and Daisy have devised a system for walking the dog. In a bag they have red marbles and blue marbles. If two marbles of the same color are picked from the bag, then John walks the dog, if it is two different colors than Daisy walks the dog. How many red and blue marbles must there be to give John and Daisy an equal chance of walking the dog.
There is not limit on how many of each marble can be in the bag. so I would love to see some interesting answers. Keep in mind each marble is drawn from the bag without replacement
probability algebra-precalculus
closed as off-topic by user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen Aug 21 at 12:15
This question appears to be off-topic. The users who voted to close gave this specific reason:
- "This question is missing context or other details: Please improve the question by providing additional context, which ideally includes your thoughts on the problem and any attempts you have made to solve it. This information helps others identify where you have difficulties and helps them write answers appropriate to your experience level." â user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen
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up vote
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Problem statement: John and Daisy have devised a system for walking the dog. In a bag they have red marbles and blue marbles. If two marbles of the same color are picked from the bag, then John walks the dog, if it is two different colors than Daisy walks the dog. How many red and blue marbles must there be to give John and Daisy an equal chance of walking the dog.
There is not limit on how many of each marble can be in the bag. so I would love to see some interesting answers. Keep in mind each marble is drawn from the bag without replacement
probability algebra-precalculus
closed as off-topic by user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen Aug 21 at 12:15
This question appears to be off-topic. The users who voted to close gave this specific reason:
- "This question is missing context or other details: Please improve the question by providing additional context, which ideally includes your thoughts on the problem and any attempts you have made to solve it. This information helps others identify where you have difficulties and helps them write answers appropriate to your experience level." â user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen
3
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
1
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?
â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35
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up vote
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up vote
2
down vote
favorite
Problem statement: John and Daisy have devised a system for walking the dog. In a bag they have red marbles and blue marbles. If two marbles of the same color are picked from the bag, then John walks the dog, if it is two different colors than Daisy walks the dog. How many red and blue marbles must there be to give John and Daisy an equal chance of walking the dog.
There is not limit on how many of each marble can be in the bag. so I would love to see some interesting answers. Keep in mind each marble is drawn from the bag without replacement
probability algebra-precalculus
Problem statement: John and Daisy have devised a system for walking the dog. In a bag they have red marbles and blue marbles. If two marbles of the same color are picked from the bag, then John walks the dog, if it is two different colors than Daisy walks the dog. How many red and blue marbles must there be to give John and Daisy an equal chance of walking the dog.
There is not limit on how many of each marble can be in the bag. so I would love to see some interesting answers. Keep in mind each marble is drawn from the bag without replacement
probability algebra-precalculus
edited Aug 16 at 7:49
N. F. Taussig
38.5k93053
38.5k93053
asked Aug 16 at 3:55
humblebundled
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204
closed as off-topic by user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen Aug 21 at 12:15
This question appears to be off-topic. The users who voted to close gave this specific reason:
- "This question is missing context or other details: Please improve the question by providing additional context, which ideally includes your thoughts on the problem and any attempts you have made to solve it. This information helps others identify where you have difficulties and helps them write answers appropriate to your experience level." â user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen
closed as off-topic by user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen Aug 21 at 12:15
This question appears to be off-topic. The users who voted to close gave this specific reason:
- "This question is missing context or other details: Please improve the question by providing additional context, which ideally includes your thoughts on the problem and any attempts you have made to solve it. This information helps others identify where you have difficulties and helps them write answers appropriate to your experience level." â user21820, Arnaud D., Did, Xander Henderson, Jyrki Lahtonen
3
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
1
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?
â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35
add a comment |Â
3
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
1
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?
â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35
3
3
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
1
1
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,
dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,
dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35
add a comment |Â
3 Answers
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Let $R$ and $B$ be the number of red and blue marbles respectively in the bag. Then you need $P(John)=frac12=P(Daisy)$.
Taking $P(Daisy)=frac12implies fracC(R,1).C(B,1)C(R+B,2)=frac12$. On simplification it gives $(R-B)^2=(R+B)$.
Few choices are $R=3$ and $B=1$; $R=6$ and $B=3$, etc.
add a comment |Â
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Let's work out the probabilities here.
Say that there are $r$ red marbles, and $b$ blue marbles. Call the total number $n = r + b$. Then, $$P(texttwo reds) = fractext# of ways to draw two redstext# number of ways to draw two marbles.$$ The denominator is simple: $n choose 2$. The numerator is basically the same: $r choose 2$. Thus this works out to be $$P(texttwo reds) = fracr(r - 1)n(n - 1).$$ The formula for blue is the same. Using this, can you work out $P(texttwo of same color)$? Hint: These events are disjoint.
Once you have that probability, what's $P(texttwo of different colors)$? Hint: How is this event related to the previous event?
Once all of this is together, you should have an equation to work with involving constants, $r$, and $b$. (Remember that $n = r + b$.) Can you find $r$ and $b$ that make this equation true?
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Let $m$ be the total number of marbles. Now let there be $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ marbles. First work out the probabilities of picking $BB$, $RR$, $BR$, or $RB$
beginalign*
P(BB)&=frac(m-k)(m-k-1)m(m-1) & P(RR)&=frack(k-1)m(m-1) \
P(BR)&=frac(m-k)km(m-1) & P(RB)&=frack(m-k)m(m-1)
endalign*
We need
beginalign*
P(BR)+P(RB)&=frac2k(m-k)m(m-1)=frac12tag1\
P(RR)+P(BB)&=fracm^2-(2k+1)m+2k^2m(m-1)=frac12tag2
endalign*
On setting the numerators of $(1)$ and $(2)$ equal (since the denominators of both are the same):
beginalign*
2k(m-k)&=m^2-2mk-m+2k^2\
implies m^2-(4k+1)m+4k^2&=0
endalign*
Solve for $m$:
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt8k+12tag3$$
Now for $m$ to be an integer $8k+1$ has to be an odd square, say $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ for some $uinBbb N$. Substituting this term into $(3)$ gives
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt(2u+1)^22=frac4k+1pm2upm12$$
Therefore
$$m_+=frac4k+1+2u+12=2k+u+1quadtextandquad m_-=frac4k+1-2u-12=2k-u$$
Now $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ so $k$ is nonnegative, and $u=frac-1+sqrt8k+12$. So
$$m_+=2k+1+frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag4$$
$$m_-=2k-frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag5$$
All odd squares are of the form $8T_j+1$, where $T_j$ is the $j$ th triangular number ($T_j=frac12j(j+1)$). Therefore, using $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ for the amount of marbles, and equations $(1)$ and $(2)$ for the probabilities, we have the first $5$ results for the positive root:
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_+ & R_+ & B_+ & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 4 & 3 & 1 &tfrac612=tfrac12 & tfrac612=tfrac12\
2& 3 & 9 & 6 & 3 &tfrac3672=tfrac12 & tfrac3672=tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 16 & 10 & 6 & tfrac120240=tfrac12 & tfrac120240=tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 25 & 15 & 10 &tfrac300600=tfrac12 & tfrac300600=tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 36 & 21 & 15 &tfrac6301260=tfrac12 & tfrac6301260=tfrac12
endarray
$$
We see the amount of marbles, $m_+$, has to be a square number $ge4$, in fact $m_+,j=(j+1)^2$; and from $(4)$ find $m_+,j$, $R_+,j$, and $B_+,j$ (subscript to denote sign of root and position) to be, for $jge1$:
beginalign*
m_+,j&=2T_j+j+1=(j+1)^2\
#R_+,j&=T_j+1\
#B_+,j&=T_j
endalign*
For the negative root $m_-$ we have to start from $jge2$, as $j=1$ gives division by zero
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_- & R_- & B_- & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 1 & 0 & 1 & -& -\
2& 3 & 4 & 1 & 3 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 9 & 3 & 6 & tfrac12 & tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 16 & 6 & 10 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 25 & 10 & 15 &tfrac12 & tfrac12
endarray
$$
beginalign*
m_-,j&=2T_j-1+j=j^2\
#R_-,j&=T_j-1\
#B_-,j&=T_j
endalign*
As can be seen, for a given square $m$, the parity of the root merely changes the role $R$ or $B$ plays.
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3 Answers
3
active
oldest
votes
3 Answers
3
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
active
oldest
votes
up vote
6
down vote
Let $R$ and $B$ be the number of red and blue marbles respectively in the bag. Then you need $P(John)=frac12=P(Daisy)$.
Taking $P(Daisy)=frac12implies fracC(R,1).C(B,1)C(R+B,2)=frac12$. On simplification it gives $(R-B)^2=(R+B)$.
Few choices are $R=3$ and $B=1$; $R=6$ and $B=3$, etc.
add a comment |Â
up vote
6
down vote
Let $R$ and $B$ be the number of red and blue marbles respectively in the bag. Then you need $P(John)=frac12=P(Daisy)$.
Taking $P(Daisy)=frac12implies fracC(R,1).C(B,1)C(R+B,2)=frac12$. On simplification it gives $(R-B)^2=(R+B)$.
Few choices are $R=3$ and $B=1$; $R=6$ and $B=3$, etc.
add a comment |Â
up vote
6
down vote
up vote
6
down vote
Let $R$ and $B$ be the number of red and blue marbles respectively in the bag. Then you need $P(John)=frac12=P(Daisy)$.
Taking $P(Daisy)=frac12implies fracC(R,1).C(B,1)C(R+B,2)=frac12$. On simplification it gives $(R-B)^2=(R+B)$.
Few choices are $R=3$ and $B=1$; $R=6$ and $B=3$, etc.
Let $R$ and $B$ be the number of red and blue marbles respectively in the bag. Then you need $P(John)=frac12=P(Daisy)$.
Taking $P(Daisy)=frac12implies fracC(R,1).C(B,1)C(R+B,2)=frac12$. On simplification it gives $(R-B)^2=(R+B)$.
Few choices are $R=3$ and $B=1$; $R=6$ and $B=3$, etc.
answered Aug 16 at 4:26
Mathlover
3,6211021
3,6211021
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up vote
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Let's work out the probabilities here.
Say that there are $r$ red marbles, and $b$ blue marbles. Call the total number $n = r + b$. Then, $$P(texttwo reds) = fractext# of ways to draw two redstext# number of ways to draw two marbles.$$ The denominator is simple: $n choose 2$. The numerator is basically the same: $r choose 2$. Thus this works out to be $$P(texttwo reds) = fracr(r - 1)n(n - 1).$$ The formula for blue is the same. Using this, can you work out $P(texttwo of same color)$? Hint: These events are disjoint.
Once you have that probability, what's $P(texttwo of different colors)$? Hint: How is this event related to the previous event?
Once all of this is together, you should have an equation to work with involving constants, $r$, and $b$. (Remember that $n = r + b$.) Can you find $r$ and $b$ that make this equation true?
add a comment |Â
up vote
2
down vote
Let's work out the probabilities here.
Say that there are $r$ red marbles, and $b$ blue marbles. Call the total number $n = r + b$. Then, $$P(texttwo reds) = fractext# of ways to draw two redstext# number of ways to draw two marbles.$$ The denominator is simple: $n choose 2$. The numerator is basically the same: $r choose 2$. Thus this works out to be $$P(texttwo reds) = fracr(r - 1)n(n - 1).$$ The formula for blue is the same. Using this, can you work out $P(texttwo of same color)$? Hint: These events are disjoint.
Once you have that probability, what's $P(texttwo of different colors)$? Hint: How is this event related to the previous event?
Once all of this is together, you should have an equation to work with involving constants, $r$, and $b$. (Remember that $n = r + b$.) Can you find $r$ and $b$ that make this equation true?
add a comment |Â
up vote
2
down vote
up vote
2
down vote
Let's work out the probabilities here.
Say that there are $r$ red marbles, and $b$ blue marbles. Call the total number $n = r + b$. Then, $$P(texttwo reds) = fractext# of ways to draw two redstext# number of ways to draw two marbles.$$ The denominator is simple: $n choose 2$. The numerator is basically the same: $r choose 2$. Thus this works out to be $$P(texttwo reds) = fracr(r - 1)n(n - 1).$$ The formula for blue is the same. Using this, can you work out $P(texttwo of same color)$? Hint: These events are disjoint.
Once you have that probability, what's $P(texttwo of different colors)$? Hint: How is this event related to the previous event?
Once all of this is together, you should have an equation to work with involving constants, $r$, and $b$. (Remember that $n = r + b$.) Can you find $r$ and $b$ that make this equation true?
Let's work out the probabilities here.
Say that there are $r$ red marbles, and $b$ blue marbles. Call the total number $n = r + b$. Then, $$P(texttwo reds) = fractext# of ways to draw two redstext# number of ways to draw two marbles.$$ The denominator is simple: $n choose 2$. The numerator is basically the same: $r choose 2$. Thus this works out to be $$P(texttwo reds) = fracr(r - 1)n(n - 1).$$ The formula for blue is the same. Using this, can you work out $P(texttwo of same color)$? Hint: These events are disjoint.
Once you have that probability, what's $P(texttwo of different colors)$? Hint: How is this event related to the previous event?
Once all of this is together, you should have an equation to work with involving constants, $r$, and $b$. (Remember that $n = r + b$.) Can you find $r$ and $b$ that make this equation true?
answered Aug 16 at 4:49
rwbogl
802417
802417
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up vote
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Let $m$ be the total number of marbles. Now let there be $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ marbles. First work out the probabilities of picking $BB$, $RR$, $BR$, or $RB$
beginalign*
P(BB)&=frac(m-k)(m-k-1)m(m-1) & P(RR)&=frack(k-1)m(m-1) \
P(BR)&=frac(m-k)km(m-1) & P(RB)&=frack(m-k)m(m-1)
endalign*
We need
beginalign*
P(BR)+P(RB)&=frac2k(m-k)m(m-1)=frac12tag1\
P(RR)+P(BB)&=fracm^2-(2k+1)m+2k^2m(m-1)=frac12tag2
endalign*
On setting the numerators of $(1)$ and $(2)$ equal (since the denominators of both are the same):
beginalign*
2k(m-k)&=m^2-2mk-m+2k^2\
implies m^2-(4k+1)m+4k^2&=0
endalign*
Solve for $m$:
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt8k+12tag3$$
Now for $m$ to be an integer $8k+1$ has to be an odd square, say $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ for some $uinBbb N$. Substituting this term into $(3)$ gives
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt(2u+1)^22=frac4k+1pm2upm12$$
Therefore
$$m_+=frac4k+1+2u+12=2k+u+1quadtextandquad m_-=frac4k+1-2u-12=2k-u$$
Now $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ so $k$ is nonnegative, and $u=frac-1+sqrt8k+12$. So
$$m_+=2k+1+frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag4$$
$$m_-=2k-frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag5$$
All odd squares are of the form $8T_j+1$, where $T_j$ is the $j$ th triangular number ($T_j=frac12j(j+1)$). Therefore, using $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ for the amount of marbles, and equations $(1)$ and $(2)$ for the probabilities, we have the first $5$ results for the positive root:
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_+ & R_+ & B_+ & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 4 & 3 & 1 &tfrac612=tfrac12 & tfrac612=tfrac12\
2& 3 & 9 & 6 & 3 &tfrac3672=tfrac12 & tfrac3672=tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 16 & 10 & 6 & tfrac120240=tfrac12 & tfrac120240=tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 25 & 15 & 10 &tfrac300600=tfrac12 & tfrac300600=tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 36 & 21 & 15 &tfrac6301260=tfrac12 & tfrac6301260=tfrac12
endarray
$$
We see the amount of marbles, $m_+$, has to be a square number $ge4$, in fact $m_+,j=(j+1)^2$; and from $(4)$ find $m_+,j$, $R_+,j$, and $B_+,j$ (subscript to denote sign of root and position) to be, for $jge1$:
beginalign*
m_+,j&=2T_j+j+1=(j+1)^2\
#R_+,j&=T_j+1\
#B_+,j&=T_j
endalign*
For the negative root $m_-$ we have to start from $jge2$, as $j=1$ gives division by zero
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_- & R_- & B_- & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 1 & 0 & 1 & -& -\
2& 3 & 4 & 1 & 3 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 9 & 3 & 6 & tfrac12 & tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 16 & 6 & 10 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 25 & 10 & 15 &tfrac12 & tfrac12
endarray
$$
beginalign*
m_-,j&=2T_j-1+j=j^2\
#R_-,j&=T_j-1\
#B_-,j&=T_j
endalign*
As can be seen, for a given square $m$, the parity of the root merely changes the role $R$ or $B$ plays.
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
Let $m$ be the total number of marbles. Now let there be $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ marbles. First work out the probabilities of picking $BB$, $RR$, $BR$, or $RB$
beginalign*
P(BB)&=frac(m-k)(m-k-1)m(m-1) & P(RR)&=frack(k-1)m(m-1) \
P(BR)&=frac(m-k)km(m-1) & P(RB)&=frack(m-k)m(m-1)
endalign*
We need
beginalign*
P(BR)+P(RB)&=frac2k(m-k)m(m-1)=frac12tag1\
P(RR)+P(BB)&=fracm^2-(2k+1)m+2k^2m(m-1)=frac12tag2
endalign*
On setting the numerators of $(1)$ and $(2)$ equal (since the denominators of both are the same):
beginalign*
2k(m-k)&=m^2-2mk-m+2k^2\
implies m^2-(4k+1)m+4k^2&=0
endalign*
Solve for $m$:
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt8k+12tag3$$
Now for $m$ to be an integer $8k+1$ has to be an odd square, say $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ for some $uinBbb N$. Substituting this term into $(3)$ gives
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt(2u+1)^22=frac4k+1pm2upm12$$
Therefore
$$m_+=frac4k+1+2u+12=2k+u+1quadtextandquad m_-=frac4k+1-2u-12=2k-u$$
Now $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ so $k$ is nonnegative, and $u=frac-1+sqrt8k+12$. So
$$m_+=2k+1+frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag4$$
$$m_-=2k-frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag5$$
All odd squares are of the form $8T_j+1$, where $T_j$ is the $j$ th triangular number ($T_j=frac12j(j+1)$). Therefore, using $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ for the amount of marbles, and equations $(1)$ and $(2)$ for the probabilities, we have the first $5$ results for the positive root:
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_+ & R_+ & B_+ & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 4 & 3 & 1 &tfrac612=tfrac12 & tfrac612=tfrac12\
2& 3 & 9 & 6 & 3 &tfrac3672=tfrac12 & tfrac3672=tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 16 & 10 & 6 & tfrac120240=tfrac12 & tfrac120240=tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 25 & 15 & 10 &tfrac300600=tfrac12 & tfrac300600=tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 36 & 21 & 15 &tfrac6301260=tfrac12 & tfrac6301260=tfrac12
endarray
$$
We see the amount of marbles, $m_+$, has to be a square number $ge4$, in fact $m_+,j=(j+1)^2$; and from $(4)$ find $m_+,j$, $R_+,j$, and $B_+,j$ (subscript to denote sign of root and position) to be, for $jge1$:
beginalign*
m_+,j&=2T_j+j+1=(j+1)^2\
#R_+,j&=T_j+1\
#B_+,j&=T_j
endalign*
For the negative root $m_-$ we have to start from $jge2$, as $j=1$ gives division by zero
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_- & R_- & B_- & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 1 & 0 & 1 & -& -\
2& 3 & 4 & 1 & 3 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 9 & 3 & 6 & tfrac12 & tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 16 & 6 & 10 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 25 & 10 & 15 &tfrac12 & tfrac12
endarray
$$
beginalign*
m_-,j&=2T_j-1+j=j^2\
#R_-,j&=T_j-1\
#B_-,j&=T_j
endalign*
As can be seen, for a given square $m$, the parity of the root merely changes the role $R$ or $B$ plays.
add a comment |Â
up vote
1
down vote
up vote
1
down vote
Let $m$ be the total number of marbles. Now let there be $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ marbles. First work out the probabilities of picking $BB$, $RR$, $BR$, or $RB$
beginalign*
P(BB)&=frac(m-k)(m-k-1)m(m-1) & P(RR)&=frack(k-1)m(m-1) \
P(BR)&=frac(m-k)km(m-1) & P(RB)&=frack(m-k)m(m-1)
endalign*
We need
beginalign*
P(BR)+P(RB)&=frac2k(m-k)m(m-1)=frac12tag1\
P(RR)+P(BB)&=fracm^2-(2k+1)m+2k^2m(m-1)=frac12tag2
endalign*
On setting the numerators of $(1)$ and $(2)$ equal (since the denominators of both are the same):
beginalign*
2k(m-k)&=m^2-2mk-m+2k^2\
implies m^2-(4k+1)m+4k^2&=0
endalign*
Solve for $m$:
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt8k+12tag3$$
Now for $m$ to be an integer $8k+1$ has to be an odd square, say $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ for some $uinBbb N$. Substituting this term into $(3)$ gives
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt(2u+1)^22=frac4k+1pm2upm12$$
Therefore
$$m_+=frac4k+1+2u+12=2k+u+1quadtextandquad m_-=frac4k+1-2u-12=2k-u$$
Now $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ so $k$ is nonnegative, and $u=frac-1+sqrt8k+12$. So
$$m_+=2k+1+frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag4$$
$$m_-=2k-frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag5$$
All odd squares are of the form $8T_j+1$, where $T_j$ is the $j$ th triangular number ($T_j=frac12j(j+1)$). Therefore, using $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ for the amount of marbles, and equations $(1)$ and $(2)$ for the probabilities, we have the first $5$ results for the positive root:
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_+ & R_+ & B_+ & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 4 & 3 & 1 &tfrac612=tfrac12 & tfrac612=tfrac12\
2& 3 & 9 & 6 & 3 &tfrac3672=tfrac12 & tfrac3672=tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 16 & 10 & 6 & tfrac120240=tfrac12 & tfrac120240=tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 25 & 15 & 10 &tfrac300600=tfrac12 & tfrac300600=tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 36 & 21 & 15 &tfrac6301260=tfrac12 & tfrac6301260=tfrac12
endarray
$$
We see the amount of marbles, $m_+$, has to be a square number $ge4$, in fact $m_+,j=(j+1)^2$; and from $(4)$ find $m_+,j$, $R_+,j$, and $B_+,j$ (subscript to denote sign of root and position) to be, for $jge1$:
beginalign*
m_+,j&=2T_j+j+1=(j+1)^2\
#R_+,j&=T_j+1\
#B_+,j&=T_j
endalign*
For the negative root $m_-$ we have to start from $jge2$, as $j=1$ gives division by zero
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_- & R_- & B_- & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 1 & 0 & 1 & -& -\
2& 3 & 4 & 1 & 3 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 9 & 3 & 6 & tfrac12 & tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 16 & 6 & 10 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 25 & 10 & 15 &tfrac12 & tfrac12
endarray
$$
beginalign*
m_-,j&=2T_j-1+j=j^2\
#R_-,j&=T_j-1\
#B_-,j&=T_j
endalign*
As can be seen, for a given square $m$, the parity of the root merely changes the role $R$ or $B$ plays.
Let $m$ be the total number of marbles. Now let there be $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ marbles. First work out the probabilities of picking $BB$, $RR$, $BR$, or $RB$
beginalign*
P(BB)&=frac(m-k)(m-k-1)m(m-1) & P(RR)&=frack(k-1)m(m-1) \
P(BR)&=frac(m-k)km(m-1) & P(RB)&=frack(m-k)m(m-1)
endalign*
We need
beginalign*
P(BR)+P(RB)&=frac2k(m-k)m(m-1)=frac12tag1\
P(RR)+P(BB)&=fracm^2-(2k+1)m+2k^2m(m-1)=frac12tag2
endalign*
On setting the numerators of $(1)$ and $(2)$ equal (since the denominators of both are the same):
beginalign*
2k(m-k)&=m^2-2mk-m+2k^2\
implies m^2-(4k+1)m+4k^2&=0
endalign*
Solve for $m$:
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt8k+12tag3$$
Now for $m$ to be an integer $8k+1$ has to be an odd square, say $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ for some $uinBbb N$. Substituting this term into $(3)$ gives
$$m=frac4k+1pmsqrt(2u+1)^22=frac4k+1pm2upm12$$
Therefore
$$m_+=frac4k+1+2u+12=2k+u+1quadtextandquad m_-=frac4k+1-2u-12=2k-u$$
Now $8k+1=(2u+1)^2$ so $k$ is nonnegative, and $u=frac-1+sqrt8k+12$. So
$$m_+=2k+1+frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag4$$
$$m_-=2k-frac-1+sqrt8k+12tag5$$
All odd squares are of the form $8T_j+1$, where $T_j$ is the $j$ th triangular number ($T_j=frac12j(j+1)$). Therefore, using $m-k$ $R$, and $k$ $B$ for the amount of marbles, and equations $(1)$ and $(2)$ for the probabilities, we have the first $5$ results for the positive root:
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_+ & R_+ & B_+ & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 4 & 3 & 1 &tfrac612=tfrac12 & tfrac612=tfrac12\
2& 3 & 9 & 6 & 3 &tfrac3672=tfrac12 & tfrac3672=tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 16 & 10 & 6 & tfrac120240=tfrac12 & tfrac120240=tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 25 & 15 & 10 &tfrac300600=tfrac12 & tfrac300600=tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 36 & 21 & 15 &tfrac6301260=tfrac12 & tfrac6301260=tfrac12
endarray
$$
We see the amount of marbles, $m_+$, has to be a square number $ge4$, in fact $m_+,j=(j+1)^2$; and from $(4)$ find $m_+,j$, $R_+,j$, and $B_+,j$ (subscript to denote sign of root and position) to be, for $jge1$:
beginalign*
m_+,j&=2T_j+j+1=(j+1)^2\
#R_+,j&=T_j+1\
#B_+,j&=T_j
endalign*
For the negative root $m_-$ we have to start from $jge2$, as $j=1$ gives division by zero
$$
beginarrayccccccc
j & k=T_j & m_- & R_- & B_- & P(BR)+P(RB) & P(BB)+P(RR)\hline
1& 1 & 1 & 0 & 1 & -& -\
2& 3 & 4 & 1 & 3 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
3 & 6 & 9 & 3 & 6 & tfrac12 & tfrac12\
4 & 10 & 16 & 6 & 10 &tfrac12 & tfrac12\
5 & 15 & 25 & 10 & 15 &tfrac12 & tfrac12
endarray
$$
beginalign*
m_-,j&=2T_j-1+j=j^2\
#R_-,j&=T_j-1\
#B_-,j&=T_j
endalign*
As can be seen, for a given square $m$, the parity of the root merely changes the role $R$ or $B$ plays.
edited Aug 20 at 16:15
answered Aug 20 at 13:38
Daniel Buck
2,3901625
2,3901625
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3
I would love to see what you think about this question! Given a concrete number of marbles in the bag and their colors, can you compute the probability of either of them walking the dog?
â rwbogl
Aug 16 at 4:07
1
One possibility: Seems if there is one ball of one color and three of the .other, then there is a 50:50 chance: In R,
dhyper(0:2, 1, 3, 2)
returns the vector (0.5, 0.5, 0.0). Can you verify that computation by hand?â BruceET
Aug 16 at 6:35