Bayesian updating proportions

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Suppose I have an urn with $N$ balls. I sample without replacement and stop when I draw a Red ball, which I do after $M$ draws ($M<N$). My prior for the proportion of Red balls is uniform on $[0,0.1]$. What is the posterior PDF for the proportion of Red balls in the urn?







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  • What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
    – joriki
    Aug 27 at 5:13














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Suppose I have an urn with $N$ balls. I sample without replacement and stop when I draw a Red ball, which I do after $M$ draws ($M<N$). My prior for the proportion of Red balls is uniform on $[0,0.1]$. What is the posterior PDF for the proportion of Red balls in the urn?







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  • What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
    – joriki
    Aug 27 at 5:13












up vote
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down vote

favorite
1









up vote
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down vote

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Suppose I have an urn with $N$ balls. I sample without replacement and stop when I draw a Red ball, which I do after $M$ draws ($M<N$). My prior for the proportion of Red balls is uniform on $[0,0.1]$. What is the posterior PDF for the proportion of Red balls in the urn?







share|cite|improve this question












Suppose I have an urn with $N$ balls. I sample without replacement and stop when I draw a Red ball, which I do after $M$ draws ($M<N$). My prior for the proportion of Red balls is uniform on $[0,0.1]$. What is the posterior PDF for the proportion of Red balls in the urn?









share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Aug 25 at 5:49









pafnuti

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  • What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
    – joriki
    Aug 27 at 5:13
















  • What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
    – joriki
    Aug 27 at 5:13















What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
– joriki
Aug 27 at 5:13




What's the difference between this question and your previous one?
– joriki
Aug 27 at 5:13















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